Risk Papers Archives -

Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: Kazakhstan

Grey Area Dynamics, Risk Papers, Russia Ukraine Conflict

Overview As a former part of the Soviet Union and with a shared border stretching over 7,000km, it is inevitable that any major incident affecting Russia will also have implications for Kazakhstan. The war in Ukraine confirms this. Kazakhstan is attempting to find a balance between complying with the West’s ever-extending sanctions list, whilst not …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: South Korea

Grey Area Dynamics, Risk Papers

Introduction It is fair to say that the newly elected President, Yoon Suk-yeol, has his work cut out for him. Having won the presidency for one five-year term - the norm in South Korea - by just 0.79%, the possibility of him making any meaningful political difference seemed a highly unlikely proposition. Firstly, from a …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: Japan

Grey Area Dynamics, Risk Papers

Overview Japan’s spectacular economic rise, which began after WWII and achieved first place in the world in terms of Gross National Product (GNP) by the end of the 1980s, was considered ‘the’ economic model for countries to follow until - just as spectacularly - it collapsed in 1991 and from which many analysts would argue, …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: Pakistan

Grey Area Dynamics, Risk Papers

Introduction The legacy of the British partition of India in 1947 is still felt. Pakistan, the resulting Muslim-majority state, has been a country on the edge of religious fervour, political upheaval and existential dread for its entire existence. As one party in the world’s comparatively forgotten nuclear détente (outside of South Asia that is), and …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: India

Grey Area Dynamics, Risk Papers

A foul wind blows India some good – Maybe India finds itself on the brink of becoming a world superpower, potentially. It was perhaps Modi’s decisive action against China’s intrusions into the Eastern Ladakh’s Galwan River Valley in April/May/June 2020, that marked the country’s first real opportunity to be considered in such rarefied air. Yet …

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Political Risk Advisory Briefing: a growing geopolitical force?

Risk Papers, Russia Ukraine Conflict

Introduction Issues of unity and belonging dominate the political consciousness right now. These are expressed in the sense of Ukraine’s nationhood versus Russia’s desire to eradicate it, in the perhaps-to-be-expanded continental bodies of the EU and NATO, and the ‘global family’ that, still tackling the coronavirus pandemic together, could yet be plunged into a global …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: South Africa

Risk Papers

South Africa has long been held up as an exemplar state for unlocking Africa’s potential. As the only African nation in the G20 and the newest member of the BRICS ‘emerging economies’, it is at the forefront of the global economic conversation and through cultural currency such as the 2010 World Cup, has advertised itself …

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Business Risk Update

Articles, KCS Group Europe News, Risk Papers, Russia Ukraine Conflict

Welcome to the latest edition of ‘Business Risk Update’ – specifically for our clients and partners to provide a snapshot of latest news and articles from the business. The war in Ukraine has been raging for over two months and, despite heroic Ukrainian resistance, there is no end in sight. The grimmest predictions for the …

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Putin’s Miscalculations

Risk Papers, Russia Ukraine Conflict

Overview The enemy of progress is perspective. Perspective is limited, illusionary and therefore, fundamentally flawed in its decision-making processes. Vladimir Putin’s perspective on Russia, Ukraine, and the relationship between the two is fixed: the latter has no right to exist independently, and the former, should return to its former glory and power. Both issues are …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: Uganda

Risk Papers

One of Africa’s smallest countries, famed for its natural beauty and its mountain gorillas, Uganda is also a country struggling to find its place in Africa and the world. Emerging from the brutal eight-year military dictatorship of Idi Amin in 1979, it was as quickly as 1986 that the state fell under the spell of …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: Brazil

Risk Papers

When the subject of Brazil dominates any conversation, one’s senses are awakened – tuning in to vibrant carnival colours, breath-taking waterways, the scent of coffee beans, the rhythmic sound of the samba, and deep base drums. The mysteries of the Amazon Rainforest, its indigenous people, and its flora and fauna inhabitants have drawn adventurers and …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: UAM

Risk Papers

The Union Arab Maghreb (UAM) is a region comprised of five very different countries, but with very similar risks associated with them. Interestingly, these countries have nothing to unite them other than the name given to the region of which they are a part. Morocco and Algeria are at each other’s throats and have been …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: India

Risk Papers

"There is a curious cultural phenomenon ascribed to India: where travellers who visit with a planned itinerary, or who intend to stay only a few weeks, find themselves still in-country months later, disoriented and psychologically changed and often in a region, or occupation, that they never would have done under normal circumstances. This ‘India syndrome’ …

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Qatar

Risk Papers

Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing Qatar "Diversification is a common watchword in the resource-related world of today, perhaps matched only by divestment: the ideas that nations dependent on oil & gas should seek alternative means of propping up their economies, and that investment in, and sponsorship of, fossil fuels should be stopped as …

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Political Risk Advisory: Egypt

Risk Papers

Political Risk Advisory Briefing: Arab Republic of Egypt Grey Area Dynamics Risk Rating of 79.06% (HIGH) "Egypt has had its share of problems at home. The Arab Spring of 2011 left Egypt in a tumultuous state for several years. Since the 2011 revolution, the military has become the governing body of the country, despite there …

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