Risk Papers Archives -

Political Risk Advisory Briefing: a growing geopolitical force?

Introduction Issues of unity and belonging dominate the political consciousness right now. These are expressed in the sense of Ukraine’s nationhood versus Russia’s desire to eradicate it, in the perhaps-to-be-expanded continental bodies of the EU and NATO, and the ‘global family’ that, still tackling the coronavirus pandemic together, could yet be plunged into a global …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: South Africa

Risk Papers

South Africa has long been held up as an exemplar state for unlocking Africa’s potential. As the only African nation in the G20 and the newest member of the BRICS ‘emerging economies’, it is at the forefront of the global economic conversation and through cultural currency such as the 2010 World Cup, has advertised itself …

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Business Risk Update

Articles, KCS Group Europe News, Risk Papers, Russia Ukraine Conflict

Welcome to the latest edition of ‘Business Risk Update’ – specifically for our clients and partners to provide a snapshot of latest news and articles from the business. The war in Ukraine has been raging for over two months and, despite heroic Ukrainian resistance, there is no end in sight. The grimmest predictions for the …

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Putin’s Miscalculations

Risk Papers, Russia Ukraine Conflict

Overview The enemy of progress is perspective. Perspective is limited, illusionary and therefore, fundamentally flawed in its decision-making processes. Vladimir Putin’s perspective on Russia, Ukraine, and the relationship between the two is fixed: the latter has no right to exist independently, and the former, should return to its former glory and power. Both issues are …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: Uganda

Risk Papers

One of Africa’s smallest countries, famed for its natural beauty and its mountain gorillas, Uganda is also a country struggling to find its place in Africa and the world. Emerging from the brutal eight-year military dictatorship of Idi Amin in 1979, it was as quickly as 1986 that the state fell under the spell of …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: Brazil

Risk Papers

When the subject of Brazil dominates any conversation, one’s senses are awakened – tuning in to vibrant carnival colours, breath-taking waterways, the scent of coffee beans, the rhythmic sound of the samba, and deep base drums. The mysteries of the Amazon Rainforest, its indigenous people, and its flora and fauna inhabitants have drawn adventurers and …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: UAM

Risk Papers

The Union Arab Maghreb (UAM) is a region comprised of five very different countries, but with very similar risks associated with them. Interestingly, these countries have nothing to unite them other than the name given to the region of which they are a part. Morocco and Algeria are at each other’s throats and have been …

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Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing: India

Risk Papers

"There is a curious cultural phenomenon ascribed to India: where travellers who visit with a planned itinerary, or who intend to stay only a few weeks, find themselves still in-country months later, disoriented and psychologically changed and often in a region, or occupation, that they never would have done under normal circumstances. This ‘India syndrome’ …

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Qatar

Risk Papers

Country Risk & Threat Advisory Briefing Qatar "Diversification is a common watchword in the resource-related world of today, perhaps matched only by divestment: the ideas that nations dependent on oil & gas should seek alternative means of propping up their economies, and that investment in, and sponsorship of, fossil fuels should be stopped as …

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Political Risk Advisory: Egypt

Risk Papers

Political Risk Advisory Briefing: Arab Republic of Egypt Grey Area Dynamics Risk Rating of 79.06% (HIGH) "Egypt has had its share of problems at home. The Arab Spring of 2011 left Egypt in a tumultuous state for several years. Since the 2011 revolution, the military has become the governing body of the country, despite there …

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Political Risk Advisory: Abu Dhabi

Risk Papers

"When thinking of the Emirates, Dubai is probably the first thing that comes to mind: whether it be the beaches and luxury lifestyle of the tourist trade, or the financial and corporate hub for firms of all kinds that have made the UAE the most attractive business destination in the Middle East. However, this is …

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Political Risk Advisory Briefing: Hungary

Risk Papers

"The political situation in Hungary has become increasingly authoritarian over the past decade, with Viktor Orban cementing his position across three separate landslide elections. His all-conquering Fidesz-KDNP coalition, currently holding 133 of 199 National Assembly Seats, has overseen a virulent shift towards right-wing conservatism, a concerted backsliding on democratic and liberal European values and the …

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Political Risk Advisory: Russia – October 2021

Risk Papers

"In September of this year, Russia held their legislative elections, where 450 seats of the State Duma (the Russian parliament) were at stake. Putin’s United Russia party won 49.8% of the seats, which is surprisingly lower than it was in 2016 (54.2%). Here we have yet another Russian election marred by claims of “voter fraud” …

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Political Risk Advisory Briefing: Philippines

Risk Papers

"It takes quite something for a potential national leader to glorify violence and illegality and ride this wave to election victory. We would think naturally of Donald Trump, who claimed he could shoot a man on Fifth Avenue and get away with it, or Brazil’s Jair Bolsonaro who all but called for a military coup. …

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Political Risk Advisory: Afghanistan – September 2021

Risk Papers

Political Risk Advisory: Afghanistan. Afghanistan has a possible GAD score of 6. "Not much thought would be required in the debate of whether to do business in Afghanistan and with the Taliban. It would be cataclysmic for a Western company to be seen doing business with the Taliban from a reputational standpoint at home, as …

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